Tuesday, December 17, 2013

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By João Fonseca ECS Capital bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland --- Dear readers of Out-of-the-Box in 2011 all took part in the 2011 Census. bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland Some with more interest than others, and greater commitment to the answers, there fill in the survey forms. bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland Since then, and gradually we have been receiving, by various means of communication, information based on the provisional results of the Census. Many people wondered what interest, bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland or what for this expense when he should be all over the country to tighten their belts. But what is a fact is that information is power! No data have our very limited options, and this also applies to real estate. Which then results in the Census that might interest us? The site INE has a space specifically dedicated to the dissemination of preliminary results of the 2011 Census. The presentation of the final results is scheduled for the last quarter of 2012, but by then the INE will publish information on relevant bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland topics. In addition to get to know the resident population in Portugal, on March 21, 2011, consisted of 10,561,614 people, the Census also gives us useful information to anyone who walks in the Property. Consider: 1) Population:
The population increased by 205,000 individuals, bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland +2%, but the number of households increased 11%? How do you explain this? With an 8% reduction in the average size of families. Implications in real estate? More families generate more demand, but the housing that families seek will be reduced, since the average family size decreased. Obviously, we must be careful when trying to make these direct interpretations that do not always reflect the reality we know, but the trend of reducing the size of families is recorded in the statistics! 2) Accommodation:
The number of households in Portugal increased by 16%, while the population only increased by 2%, what implications does this have in the occupation of these properties? (Point 3 below). And the distribution of increase of pensions in the country? Have been uniform in the various NUTS 1 and 2 units? Algarve and Madeira were certainly not:
According to the INE, for family accommodation means "Accommodation which usually intended to accommodate only one family and not entirely used for other purposes at the time of reference." 3) occupancy status of accommodations: As to the form occupancy of accommodation, 68% on average these are habitual residence, 19% of secondary residence and 12.5% are vacant:
I draw attention to the Algarve, where 39% of households are secondary residence, as expected. bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland The following table, extracted from a Stand INE on the 2011 Census, shows the variation in the form of occupation between 2001 and 2011:
In total, the number of vacant bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland accommodation increased by 35%, and the number of second homes increased by 23%, while the number of habitual residences increased 12%. The aggregate growth of these three forms of occupancy led to the addition of 16% of total households in the period mentioned bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland above. 4) Accommodation vacant According bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland to the INE, a vacant bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland property is an "unoccupied family accommodation and is available for sale, lease, demolition or other status at the time of reference." According to the Census, the number of vacant accommodation increased by 35%, but only 15% of these are available for sale:
There is curious that only 15% of the vacant properties are considered available for lease. The percentage seems very low, at a time when demand in the rental market is very high, which raises me some questions: - how many of these vacant accommodation will be in parallel rental market (the so-called "no receipt")? - How many of these properties belong to owners who prefer bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland to keep them vacant to run the risk of rent to a tenant due to lack of legal certainty in the lease for failure? With the continuous bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland increase in monitoring by the Finance and the forthcoming entry into force of the amendments bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland in the legislation bevölkerungsentwicklung deutschland of the lease, assume a greater transfer of the number of vacant rental market for accommodation, and a correction published statistical value occurs. In conclusion, the 2011 Census is already a very useful tool for anyone working in the Real Estate and seeks to understand the market trends, present and for the next 10 years, and will become even more useful when the final results are released. Until then, we can only wait with patience and go digesting the information that is published sporadically. Bon

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