The world's 1900 census resources and population | voprosik
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Note: Spontaneous relationship between energy and the population in this article only intuitive. Although it looks solid, "prove" this interconnectedness difficult. However, if this pattern is correct, the consequences for humanity related to any general decrease in available energy, look too depressing, that they are not paying attention.
Throughout history, population growth has provoked a steady increase in the amount of energy consumed by us. Our present industrial civilization is totally dependent on access to a huge number of different types of energy. A significant reduction in available energy resources would be reflected very seriously on civilization and the planet's population, which it is. This article describes the performance models for different types of energy sources that we use, and the forecast of their development until the year 2100. The complete picture is then converted into a model of the population, based on an assessment of changes in total energy consumption per person for 100 years. Finally, added to the model and the influence of environmental damage as a result to get the final total expression of the population.
During the global industrialization of the population of the planet was closely associated with the amount of energy consumed. Over the past forty years, energy consumption per head of the population 1900 census is within 1900 census 1.5 tons of oil equivalent (toe) - per person per year, which grew by 1.2 compared to toe per person in 1966 and 1.7 toe per person in 2006. Thus, global energy consumption has tripled over this period, while the population has doubled.
The analysis in this paper is supported by model perspectives in energy production. The model is based on historical data on the actual production of energy resources, introduction to the forecasts created based on the ideas of various energy experts and analysts, including my own interpretation of future directions.
To date, in global terms, the energy 1900 census produced on the basis of: oil (36%), natural gas (24%), coal (28%), nuclear energy (6%), hydropower (6%) and renewable resources, such as wind and sun (about 1%). Historical data on production in each category (except renewable resources) 1900 census are taken from the Statistical Review of World Energy 1900 census 2007 BP (BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2007). For comparisons between categories I use a standard measure of "tons of oil equivalent" (toe). Although this approach does not account for the different performance indicators of different sources, for example, oil or hydro, it is widely accepted standard gives a general 1900 census comparison.
First, we consider each category separately. I will try to lay out as clearly as possible the factors and parameters that I have considered building its forecasts. This will allow you to decide whether my assumptions seem possible. Then they are combined into one global energy projection.
Once the picture is made up, we trace its possible consequences for the world's 1900 census population. Following this, we associate these possible consequences to the existing environmental damage as a result to get the final forecast of the number of population in the next century.
WEAP model was developed as a simple table format in Excel. Calculation time events and raising and lowering the cost of the proposals that are related to energy, has been selected by means of a careful 1900 census study of specialized literature. In some cases, the opinions of various authors on these issues differed. In these cases, I resorted to its own estimates and judgments. Calculations always reflect the views of their authors, and it is better to recognize at the outset. Despite this, I tried to be objective intends to choose, to base my predictions on documented trends of the present and past tense and avoid preconceived ideas of choice in all situations.
WEAP model considering the expected effects of energy 1900 census and ecological factors on world population in the world. It does not combine directly influence local and national differences. Its purpose - to create a broader conceptual framework within which to consider and understand these regional disparities.
The purpose of the analysis - only to outline the "most likely" future scenario, based largely on the current situation and how it may change in the future. 1900 census You will not find a single sentence about how it would be necessary to act, or proposals based on the idea that we can radically change the behavior of people or institutions as soon as possible. The same applies to new and t
Home Search Submit Questions on topics Cots. Network Auto-Moto Apocalypse Foreign Policy Domestic Policy Issues of religion in life Foreign Internet History Movies Conspirology Media Medicine 1900 census Music International affairs Weapons Policy Sex Crime Nature Sports Technology Humor
Note: Spontaneous relationship between energy and the population in this article only intuitive. Although it looks solid, "prove" this interconnectedness difficult. However, if this pattern is correct, the consequences for humanity related to any general decrease in available energy, look too depressing, that they are not paying attention.
Throughout history, population growth has provoked a steady increase in the amount of energy consumed by us. Our present industrial civilization is totally dependent on access to a huge number of different types of energy. A significant reduction in available energy resources would be reflected very seriously on civilization and the planet's population, which it is. This article describes the performance models for different types of energy sources that we use, and the forecast of their development until the year 2100. The complete picture is then converted into a model of the population, based on an assessment of changes in total energy consumption per person for 100 years. Finally, added to the model and the influence of environmental damage as a result to get the final total expression of the population.
During the global industrialization of the population of the planet was closely associated with the amount of energy consumed. Over the past forty years, energy consumption per head of the population 1900 census is within 1900 census 1.5 tons of oil equivalent (toe) - per person per year, which grew by 1.2 compared to toe per person in 1966 and 1.7 toe per person in 2006. Thus, global energy consumption has tripled over this period, while the population has doubled.
The analysis in this paper is supported by model perspectives in energy production. The model is based on historical data on the actual production of energy resources, introduction to the forecasts created based on the ideas of various energy experts and analysts, including my own interpretation of future directions.
To date, in global terms, the energy 1900 census produced on the basis of: oil (36%), natural gas (24%), coal (28%), nuclear energy (6%), hydropower (6%) and renewable resources, such as wind and sun (about 1%). Historical data on production in each category (except renewable resources) 1900 census are taken from the Statistical Review of World Energy 1900 census 2007 BP (BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2007). For comparisons between categories I use a standard measure of "tons of oil equivalent" (toe). Although this approach does not account for the different performance indicators of different sources, for example, oil or hydro, it is widely accepted standard gives a general 1900 census comparison.
First, we consider each category separately. I will try to lay out as clearly as possible the factors and parameters that I have considered building its forecasts. This will allow you to decide whether my assumptions seem possible. Then they are combined into one global energy projection.
Once the picture is made up, we trace its possible consequences for the world's 1900 census population. Following this, we associate these possible consequences to the existing environmental damage as a result to get the final forecast of the number of population in the next century.
WEAP model was developed as a simple table format in Excel. Calculation time events and raising and lowering the cost of the proposals that are related to energy, has been selected by means of a careful 1900 census study of specialized literature. In some cases, the opinions of various authors on these issues differed. In these cases, I resorted to its own estimates and judgments. Calculations always reflect the views of their authors, and it is better to recognize at the outset. Despite this, I tried to be objective intends to choose, to base my predictions on documented trends of the present and past tense and avoid preconceived ideas of choice in all situations.
WEAP model considering the expected effects of energy 1900 census and ecological factors on world population in the world. It does not combine directly influence local and national differences. Its purpose - to create a broader conceptual framework within which to consider and understand these regional disparities.
The purpose of the analysis - only to outline the "most likely" future scenario, based largely on the current situation and how it may change in the future. 1900 census You will not find a single sentence about how it would be necessary to act, or proposals based on the idea that we can radically change the behavior of people or institutions as soon as possible. The same applies to new and t
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